George Friedman Predicts World War 3 Between Turkey and Poland

Looking at the future of geopolitics, the author reveals the surprising results of his research.

Read more at http://www.smithsonianmag.com/specialsections/40th-anniversary/George-Friedman-on-World-War-III.html

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Автор slatz20 ( назад)
This guy has the same voice as Robert California...LOL

Автор imnknz ( назад)
U're dead wrong about Russia. It is very much interested in Poland. As
stated by Putin, the fall of USSR was the biggest geopolitical disaster of
the XX c. They obviously still have imperial ambitions. And don't forget
about Germany - slowely but surely, they are imposing their dictat over EU,
using the crisis as an excuse. The whole Euro scheme was ill-designed
favouring their economy, disadvantaging the fringe coutries. Despite all of
that, my guess re next WW would be - "West" vs Islam+Russia

Автор Emre Can İrez ( назад)
yes you're looking to map and then suddenly you know better then him :D:D
its too funny man :D

Автор SPMSred ( назад)
Not sure about that, but Poland or Turkey wouldn't be the trigger, too many
people love both of those countries for them to go to war with eachother.

Автор kubaniski ( назад)
Its a bit of a stretch.

Автор Batuhan Cakmakci ( назад)
because Turkey and the United States are both ''allies'' with Pakistan

Автор optionrider12 ( назад)
His assessment of Turkey is correct. It's a sleeping giant with a key to
the Islamic world. If Turkey isn't soon and fully integrated with the EU,
it may reach out and seek allies elsewhere. Poland is a large unknown, and
its role will be determined by its successful advocacy leading to
integration with NATO and the EU of Ukraine and Georgia. Germany is
politically, militarily and financially restricted by the US and Britain,
and is reduced to a powerhouse, not to say a workhorse of the EU.

Автор meralodem ( назад)
Does this mean that US wants Japanese power against China, Turkish power in
Middle East-Caucauses-Balkan against Iran - Europe- Russia and Polish power
against Europe& Russia?

Автор Movie Nerds ( назад)
i am from turkey i love iran !!! we dont hate jews we hate zionist like

Автор Mark Warburton ( назад)
Why don't Turkey, US, Japan and poland etc just all team up and get
pakistan in control and/or get rid of it. Terrorist state something has to
be done about it.

Автор selcuk32adana ( назад)
you play to much call of duty on your xbox...

Автор Daniel Tinkov ( назад)
The only problem is that he is saying those things will occur 40 years from
now. Things change, 4 decades is a long time. The US didn't have a border
with USSR either, but they ware on their throats for about half a century
and the problem for Poland is that the "west" is Germany. Go ask someone in
Poland how they feel about the Germans. Additionally Germany is closely
tied with Russia in economic and historical sense and is more likely to
side with them against Poland.

Автор Joseph Adamski ( назад)
Poland is the 'Beverly Hills' of Russia. Many wealthy Russians and Germans
buy vacation (resort) homes in Poland. And it is also a very industrialized
country that is NOT afraid of going against Russia. Remember Solidarnosc
(Solidarity) during the strikes of the '80.s. The only reason US won the
war with Japan is because they hired Stalin (USSR) to fight the Germans.
And the three major powers (Britain, US, USSR) joined forces to defeat the
Germans and steal their nuclear physicists and the bomb

Автор Jasper Sky ( назад)
What nonsense. Turkey or Japan attack the USA? They've been down that road
before. What ridiculous nonsense. And what the hell would Poland have to
fear from Turkey? Go look at a map. It has no border anywhere near Turkey.
Poland's job is perhaps to try to bind itself into an alliance with the
countries to its west to dissuade any Russian designs on it, but really I
don't think the Russians are interested in Poland. Belarus, yes, Ukraine,
maybe, Poland, nyet.

Автор Zekiya jaja ( назад)
Oh ek wanting to play with the big toys sinds they lost their empire in the

Автор Lucas Venancio Dos Santos ( назад)
I really don't know what to think!

Автор F. Karakaya ( назад)
why will we have war with Poland for god's sake?!! this is the silliest new
that i have ever heard, as a turk, if you ask me , now we are ally and we
will be stronger together in future, we don't have any bad clue in our
mutual history with Poland, maybe you want us in fight together, maybe?? no
war have a good life

Автор Pierrebrd ( назад)
Turkey hostile to the US? Not really...for the people of many countries
around the world US is considered an enemy, but not for their governments.
If anything Turkey is key on the whole Middle East map, and one can see how
US has been relying less on "boots on the ground" and more on drones. The
destabilization and the Sunni-Shia conflict make GCC and Turkey natural
allies, to keep the area under control but within US limits, while it
focuses on Asia more.

Автор William Bell ( назад)
Some people in Turkey may hate Jewish Israel but they hate Shia Iran just
as much, sorry to burst your bubble. :)

Автор Manfred Tallador ( назад)
In XVII century wars between two powers-Turkey and Poland were good only
for Russia and Germany. So we will not do the same mistake. I hope.

Автор umyeahithink ( назад)
Japan doesn't need a "shield". It's military is overall more advanced and
capable than China's, including a more advanced navy and airforce (which is
crucial). Also, China isn't communist (it just calls itself that), its
co-opted capitalism. Also, Turkey is a member of NATO, and unlikely to
partner with Iran because it wouldn't want another Mid-East rising power.
Also, its one of the few mid-east countries which is relatively friendly
towards israel.

Автор Billy Bob Mirango ( назад)
LOL.....Turkey has NO ability to project power!!!! The British have the
abilty to fry the entire Turkish navy from the Western Med. ...Turkey is
way over-stated

Автор Ruhi Çenet ile Gitar Videoları ( назад)
Turkey will never battle against too Poland, we are allies.

Автор Kylebrowningkkk ( назад)
Sry bro but I dnt buy his wwIII senario at all. Num. 1 japan needs the US
to sheild them from china. Japan does not have nukes/ and japan is
capitalist hence we buffer them from communist china. Just like we do south
korea from the north. Now Turkey yeh they have potential to stir up things
but I see it being more of an ally with Iran an then pore their forces in
trying to wipe Israel out. But I pray we would go to the tiny free countrys
aid cause they will need it!

Автор GOT TOSA ( назад)
japan didn't die

Автор SLuber12 ( назад)
Turkey vs Poland = believable Japan vs USA = I doubt it Japan & Turkey =
perhaps, but I don't see it happening anytime soon

Автор roarodon ( назад)
SERIOUSLY, read his book and then start shooting our mouths off.

Автор kangix79 ( назад)
Turkey and Japan? Seriously? Man am I glad I didn't fork over 200 bucks for
a membership so I could get this hilarious book. How is the guy still
running Stratfor, 100 bucks says Robert Kaplan takes over from this clown
in 5 years.

Автор JohnnyRock2000 ( назад)
Israel will lure the world into WWIII. Why? In their quest to dominate the
entire Middle East and North Africa. How? Clash of Civilizations. The West
will war with Islam. The West hears it coming every time you see anti
Islamic press reports. It's everywhere in the west. We hear that they are
fanatics and mad. Russia will join to defend itself from Western dominance
in the M.E. Israel will guide the war thro manipulation of the US. China?
Who knows. Take over the East Pacific?

Автор Icarusdecending82 ( назад)
I know right? In their magical control room in the center of the moon, with
Santa Clause.

Автор Andhaira ( назад)
I guess he also couldn't 'predict' China becoming the worlds second largest
economy, which anyone with half a braincell between their ears could see
happening in front of their eyes over the past decade. Also, the second
largest navy in Asia counts for utter shit because it is ASIA, a huge
landmass where if you go to war you need a large LAND ARMY. And China has
the largest army in the world. Oh and yeah, China has nukes. It is the
third largest nuclear fighting force in the world.

Автор Herbert Tackmann ( назад)
All of you can't see the forest through the trees.The"now".what is
happening,did not just happen.It was planed to happen,with a goal,and with
direction.By whom? It's simple.THOSE with the most Wealth (Gold &
Jewels),paper comes and goes.The Vatican,has most and is ONE of THREE in
The Crown Corp.started by Rothschild,run by the Earth's MOST WEALTHY.LONDON
CITY(1Sq. Mile) in London is a Private CityState,NOT part of England.D.C.is
#3,NOT part of the USA,a CityState,also.The CROWN Rules the World.

Автор 3choBlaster ( назад)
Turkey, Japan and Poland will rise, Poland will be the weakest of the
three. But I do not think any of them will go to war. It's very likely that
Japan and Turkey will ally them selves, but I do not see Turkey stepping
out of the NATO or America becoming hostile because Turkey becomes a
maritime power. I think the US will have a harder time dealing with Turkey
having so much influence in the lands they failed to put puppet regimes in.
Although it seems they kinda have accepted it

Автор KEITH MAJIMA ( назад)
one thing he gets wrong is that Japan wants US off their back...Japan is
like a ATM for US and in reality it is vassal state that is taking a free
ride on US military. Interestingly enough, the Japanese people seem to be
comfortable with this status-quo. The only pre-requisite that Japanese
people want US off their back is when the presence of US military gets
leaned and less in Japan yet they still be ordered by US to pay so much to
support the forward deployment of US military in Japan.

Автор adnan1985gti ( назад)
i think this video is bullshit Turkey wil never atack first...

Автор malbung ( назад)
the guy is out of his mind…

Автор Arnulf Lelorrain ( назад)
@tizztehwizz I agree, this guy is totally off the wall. Then he mentions
Poland? Hello?

Автор Mr Sardonicus ( назад)
Geeze, this guy is a Punch Drunk moron! He named 10 of his own children
george for gosh sakes. He is mentally ill. What kind of information can you
expect to..., huh, Friedman What, NOT Foreman. Ooops, never mind.

Автор HatePlough ( назад)
@djmoski9999 Lol that's so true. His answer to any challengers to eternal
US world domination is that they will collapse and fall apart. This guy
embodies pride before the fall

Автор centurion180ad ( назад)
No. ZIONIST BANKERS are the center of gravity in Central Asia. ALL BANKERS
must be thrown in prison, exiled, or otherwise removed from participation
in the lives of the people of the world. SCREW THE GOD DAMN BANKERS BANKERS

Автор antonKASA2007 ( назад)
problem are only russia and china, no poland and turkey or japan ...but
this guy is a joke

Автор gaaiessaaies ( назад)
if you stay of our pierogi, we wont get mad!

Автор Chris Jones ( назад)
I was in Poland and Turkey recently. While Turkey is a significant power in
the region, there is no real danger of conflict between these 2 countries.
For a much more likely analysis of the power changing effects of the
current economic crisis, see 'Global Economic Crisis 2012:Cause and Effects
by Zip Zagon (Must See)'.

Автор Rex Holes ( назад)
@kazama333 I guess people forget about the Ottoman Empire, I wouldn't
underestimate any nation

Автор Jasandia ( назад)
@hunden8404 that's what will make it true unfortunately

Автор Lee abz ( назад)
Islam is the fibnal beast kingdom of the Bible - even the al mahdi and isa
( islamic awaited figures ) are now revealed as the antichrist and false

Автор kazama333 ( назад)
@TheAbsoluTurk Never underestimate Turkey, Poles know this from centuries!

Автор ooshgasm ( назад)
@IAPETUSGIANTS I think it's very unlikely the USA will begin WW3, it would
not be in the top dogs interest to change it world which it dominates. I
think WW3 is very likely to begin from a Pakistan-India, Israel- Middle
East atack or something. Btw not saying I think the US isn't aggressive
just that it seems more likely one of the other scenarios will ocurr when
you look at how unstable those relationsip are and getting worse)

Автор WarmongerWW3 ( назад)
They are just printing more money and increasing inflation. This will lead
to WW3, which is good. Unemployment fell dramatically throughout the WW2,
reaching a low of 1.2% by 1944. The real gross national product rose by 37%
from 1941 to 1944. World War 2 reduced unemployment and raised GNP.

Автор Rosscifer ( назад)
Did he just say that Poland is afraid of Turkey? Haha. Also Russia didn't
invade Georgia, it crossed briefly into Georgia when it pushed Georgia back
out of South Ossetia.

Автор Peter Aaron Chuang ( назад)
George Friedman Predicts World War III

Автор Shaz Lion ( назад)
World War III will start when USA will start War with Pakistan......Just
Wait & See

Автор hunden8404 ( назад)
He's able to predict, because it is these very same people and their neocon
ideology that are making it happen.

Автор elifschitz ( назад)
@masterlessmaster the fact russia gave passports to Ossetians is a direct
provocation against Georgia. Ossetia is a part of Georgia, and if we put
any atrocities of war aside (I can't believe you actually quote Putin of
all people) Georgia like any country (including Russia in the case of
Chechnya) squash any effort of peoples within its borders to secede. So you
see Russia's so called "necessity" to protect Ossetians because of the
passports they were given is a total twist of politics.

Автор Norwegian733 ( назад)
I have seen comments from this guy years ago and he was wrong on everything.

Автор Dan Russo ( назад)
He is wrong on this one point for sure, Georgia Invaded Ossetia, under US
and Israeli direction. US and Israel armed and trained the Georgians. W and
Cheney Must have given the OKay. Putin says Russians saw US soldiers
Directing the Attack on Ossetia where 1600 to 2000 Ossetians died. It
looked like Stalingrad in 1942. Gorbachev had rewritten Constitution of
Russia which said anyone with Russian passport Must be protected. Russia
HAD to protect Ossetia. It did not have to punish Georgia.

Автор nzmudzinski ( назад)
@Slavko961234 Polish > You

Автор udical ( назад)
@Iranianoilbourse nope, he is right, turkey, japan and poland will become
new powers because america want so

Автор Med amine ( назад)
turkey china russia india iran brasil cuba venezuela thailanda or combodge
and some others contry in africa and middle east

Автор TheAbsoluTurk ( назад)
Poland used to be one of the biggest empires in Europe so it's not
suprising. After being downtrodden for around 2 centuries, it's no suprise
they can arise. Turkey? We knew this years ago.

Автор hkrainman ( назад)
I am Asian, every one in Asia knows Japan is finish, even b4 the 9.0
earthquake. This is the problem with Western "Experts" I always tell them -
don't try to predict Asia, since you cannot even forcast your own country
right! Fuxking Moron!

Автор Iranianoilbourse ( назад)
@Slavko961234 the poorly veiled purpose of this guy is to manipulate the
nationality of Turkey, Japan and Poland in order to neutralise or at least
weaken those countries who are really a threat to america. It is pretty
obvious that those countries are China, Iran, Germany and Russia. Very good
try but as I said badly veiled.

Автор Chris Cooper ( назад)
Having read some of this guys stuff I was impressed with his insight - but
then it dawned on me that its all HINDsight ! Watching him now and
listening to his views seems closer to Glenn Beck - shame !

Автор ahriman87 ( назад)
this guy is high lolz

Автор MercuryReliance ( назад)
I read this guy's book. I found it interesting. The Turkey/Poland/Japan
thing was plausible. The parts of the book regarding Mexico and
California/Arizona/New Mexico and Texas are DEFINITELY worth reading. It
deals mainly with population forecasts and old grudges.

Автор fabwed ( назад)
what retard. Still thinking in ww2 scenarios. omg

Автор Phead128 ( назад)
Are you serious? Yes, Turkey is going to be a Great Power, I can tell you,
anyone who knows the history of the Ottoman Empire can tell you Turkey is
going to re-emerge again. But Japan and Poland? POLAND??

Автор udical ( назад)
@TeMpOuK1 u are idiot, wars are in human nature, u stupid idiot

Автор Cristiano Burlacchini ( назад)
Things change in a blink of an eye, look at Japan now. Nobody knows exactly
the future

Автор MrBSHAW333 ( назад)
@MrEseskay my friend I beg you , to re-think that , now take some time and
understand what i am about to tell you THIS IS THE THIRD INSTALLMENT OF THE
START OF WORLD WAR 3. step1- 9-11 step2- war on terror (afghanastan
invasion) step3- operation odyssey dawn - . First off , lucifer is the son
of the morning , this is where the word dawn is used it also means the
start of a new beginning , in other words a NEW WORLD ORDER . The word
odyssey means crusade ,journey or quest- WOW

Автор Icarusdecending82 ( назад)
@MrEseskay ummm...he is attempting to predict the future. The only
"truth's" are in the past.

Автор MrEseskay ( назад)
all crap...not a bit truth

Автор Shogun1822 ( назад)
@MuayThaiViking If you have ever read a book written by this man, then you
would know that even he knows that this is not the absolute truth. What
geopolitical predictions are based on are current facts and trends which
provide a basis for a PREDICTION. the guy is not a prophet, he simply
stating one scenario based on the current on goings of the world.

Автор Shogun1822 ( назад)
@MrBEB123 Japan and Turkey have more in common than you might think. And
Poland is not a small country (9th largest in Europe by landmass, 6th
largest by population in Europe), and it is definitively not poor. Maybe
you should do some research about these topics before you start blurting
out ridiculous "facts". Its one thing to disagree with what he says and
another saying things like Japan and Turkey have nothing in common and that
Poland is a small and poor country.

Автор KamuiMosir ( назад)
@TeMpOuK1 No. You're behind them all. "Comment Pending Approval!" HA

Автор KamuiMosir ( назад)
@MrBEB123 George is a geopolitical cynic, and very cautious. But I think
this interview is mostly about selling the book. He never predicted whats
come to develop in the Middle East/North Africa region, but his ideas are
always in the realm of the possible. Japan now is still our best allie, but
if the pull of China and/or the retreat of the US from the region happened,
that might change. I personally predict there wont be a WWIII, only
relatively small wars and fights breaking out.

Автор TeMpOuK1 ( назад)

Автор TrassseB ( назад)
his predictions are plausible and some what true.... but the detail he goes
into the WW3 in the book is pretty funny and ridiculous.... even though he
does say to take it serious...lol WW3 between the countries he claims will
happen is plausible but how it will unfold its redicilous

Автор MrBEB123 ( назад)
His position is ridiculous. Those three countries he mention have very
little in the way of land, resources, strategic location or military power.
None are nuclear and have program planned and the idea of Japan and Turkey
who have nothing in common forming a military alliance makes no sense, also
Poland, a small and poor country has never had any power and is part of
NATO and the European Union. If you want to see a prediction of the future
watch the Planet of the Apes film series.

Автор RAMBERT2112 ( назад)

Автор hardcorepapaa ( назад)
How many Polacks is needed to change a bulb? - I think one because I do it
by my self alone. I think that Mr. Friedman is wrong, especially regarding
Poland. Last years USA politics showed very clearly that Poland is a minor
player. Moreover, Poland alone is too weak and too unstable inside to
actually become a serious player in game between the big ones.

Автор Straza Djenerala ( назад)
If George was born in 1895 he would have 0 chance at predicting what would
happen in the 21st century. One person was born that shaped history so
drastically that the notion of predicting what is going to happen in the
21st century is just crazy. No Adolf Hitler, completely different world.
Maybe some other psycho is gonna be born this century who knows friedman...

Автор tung2sai ( назад)
I don't know man, some of his analysis is kind of awkward.

Автор Eric Pirog ( назад)
Read his book and you'll get all the background info to these predictions.
It's not farfetched after explanation, it's about the shape of the
conflicts not the specifics and the countries might even be different
(Romania instead of Poland; Egypt or Iran instead of Turkey). And I think
if he's wrong about China could even be China instead of Japan. Also, it's
not all out country destroying type of war, it's elite units against elite
units conflict that doesn't affect the general population.

Автор Eric Pirog ( назад)
Read his book (The Next 100 Years) and you'll get all the background info
to these predictions.

Автор JOB40:15dinos ( назад)
hahaha he's predicting a war world 3 it was predicted thounsands of years

Автор Henrik Edin ( назад)
@john2knj it is recognised by Transnistria though :O

Автор John Doe ( назад)
@john2knj You forget, though, that Russia trained and equipped South
Ossetian separatists, then ordered them to stage several provocations on 7
August, leading to a Georgian response. Yes, the Georgians were reckless in
responding the way they did, but it was part of a Russian ploy to remove
NATO from its borders.

Автор john2knj ( назад)
From what I recall & understand, Georgia attacked South Ossetia (The
Republic of South Ossetia) and Russia stepped in to defend them. Based on
that it would seem more correct to say that Russia defended South Ossettia
from Georgia rather than invaded Georgia. South Ossetia has claimed
independence from Georgia, also afaik, but is not recognized

Автор Aengrod ( назад)
Well, truth being told those predictions are more or less accurate with
recent WikiLeaks publications, about US diplomacy and their "view of the
world". Interesting.

Автор Ltdeacon ( назад)
let me see world government= end to senseless and wasteful wars. i"ll take
world government for 200 alex

Автор aaronsdavis ( назад)
@chinaownseverything I totally agree, i love analysis that is outside of
ideological "constraints" (the Fried-man loves that word)

Автор aaronsdavis ( назад)
@djhuso according to history, no...

Автор aaronsdavis ( назад)
@kespec ewww!...couldnt you have said "when you were playing with

Автор aaronsdavis ( назад)
@civonamzuk lol why 10? why not "from 7-12" ?

Автор ᵐᵃˢᵗᵉʳ ʳᵃᶜᵉ ( назад)
@macatworks when you were shitting on your diapers that man was making
strategic predictions

Автор paokG4miazoi ( назад)
Friedman is the biggest dick head going around these days. Poland? A world
power? Is this fucking idiot being serious? Turkey? Even more laughable.
These two countries are American puppets. Turkey is trying to break away,
and it will pay the price for it's betrayal of the west. How can he dismiss
China because of poverty but claim Turkey will be a power when 2/3rds of
Turkey is in poverty and getting worse? What a fucking dumb ass.

Автор warstomper ( назад)
Odd that he ignores India as being a player in the world

Автор walt eagler ( назад)
Friedman is talking just nonsense! in 100 years there will be no Poland or
Germany or Turkey, but a European Union.

Автор Straza Djenerala ( назад)
@CrazyShakaZulu Russia and some Eastern European Countries will team up
with Turkey and Japan i rekon.

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